Counterparty

Essay · December 31, 2025 · 11:00

This is KILLING Crypto... (rant)

The Signal

A creator coin tied to the internet's most viral figure topped around $8 million without onboarding a meaningful new audience, convincing Threadguy that tokenized content is structurally backward. Crypto should not rebuild social media; it should make finance compelling first, then layer feeds, followers, comments, and group behavior around the trades people already want to make.

Key Takeaways

  • 01

    The perfect test failed

    Nick Shirley had extraordinary attention and amplification from major political and technology figures, yet his Zora coin remained an insular trade among existing onchain participants. If creator coins were going to break through, this was the moment.

  • 02

    Content has no natural bid

    A public post remains freely available on Twitter or TikTok, leaving little reason to buy its tokenized copy. Thin liquidity turns most content coins into brief battles between snipers and trench traders.

  • 03

    Finance should come first

    FOMO, Polymarket, Phantom, and friend.tech work when a real speculative action creates the content and social features amplify it. The trade itself — not a token wrapped around a post — is the spectacle.

  • 04

    Traders are the creators

    A $37 position becoming $500,000 produces an audience, reputation, and capital ready to follow the next move. Public wallets make those finance-native social graphs possible.

On the Record

Crypto is finance. We're building finance. The traders, in my opinion, are the creators. Trading is the spectacle, not the content creators.

People are here to trade. People are here to make money. It's finance. We're not rebuilding social media. We're rebuilding finance.

You have to be trading, because if you're trading all day, you realize that the fundamental product that crypto offers is speculation.

The Breakdown

Nick Shirley was the god spot

For 72 hours, Nick Shirley dominated the online conversation and received amplification from major technology and political figures. He then launched a coin through Zora. Threadguy sees this as the strongest possible test of the creator-coin thesis — yet the token peaked near $8 million, Coinbase and Base barely supported the moment, and no meaningful group of newcomers appeared to enter crypto because of it.

A market of trenchers trading trenchers

Browsing the Base app reveals little volume, liquidity, or durable holder activity. Tokens that move often spike for seconds and collapse, leaving existing snipers and onchain traders to trade against one another. A Base product employee's description of content coins as 24-hour trades underscores the disconnect: Threadguy believes the teams designing the product neither make content nor trade enough to see why the experience fails.

Do not rebuild what already works

Twitter, TikTok, and YouTube already distribute content effectively. Tokenizing a public post does not make it more valuable when anyone can view the original for free, and a new app cannot realistically beat those networks at top-of-funnel attention. The opportunity is not rebuilding the internet from zero to one, Threadguy says, but advancing finance from one to two.

The trade becomes the post

A trader turning $37 of White Whale into $500,000 is inherently viral. During the Nick Shirley trade, Threadguy and Counterparty teammates watched one another buy and sell in voice chat with the intensity of an MMO. FOMO turns that activity into followers and future capital; Polymarket makes prediction positions shareable and discussable. The financial event exists first, then the social loop compounds it.

What friend.tech understood

Friend.tech began as a speculative market and added a feed, group chats, visible ownership, and transaction history. That loop was powerful because participants already wanted the underlying trade. James Wynn's Hyperliquid positions operated the same way: opening a long or short became must-see television without anyone tokenizing his commentary.

Public ledgers are the social primitive

Crypto can expose who holds what, which wallets made each trade, and who consistently performs. Those records let finance apps build identity, reputation, following, and conversation on top. Threadguy acknowledges losing money on the Shirley coin, but his larger frustration is architectural: builders are forcing content into tokens instead of recognizing that speculation itself is the native content and successful speculators are the people audiences want to follow.

Distilled from the episode transcript · Counterparty Recap Desk

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